Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 37.69%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 34.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 1-0 (10.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Raith Rovers in this match.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 34.99% | 27.32% | 37.69% |
| Both teams to score 49.83% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.29% | 55.71% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.15% | 76.85% |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.77% | 30.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.6% | 66.4% |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.42% | 28.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.62% | 64.38% |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 10.33% 2-1 @ 7.74% 2-0 @ 6.18% 3-1 @ 3.09% 3-0 @ 2.47% 3-2 @ 1.93% 4-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.32% Total : 34.98% | 1-1 @ 12.94% 0-0 @ 8.64% 2-2 @ 4.85% Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.32% | 0-1 @ 10.82% 1-2 @ 8.11% 0-2 @ 6.78% 1-3 @ 3.39% 0-3 @ 2.83% 2-3 @ 2.02% 1-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.68% Total : 37.69% |