Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 45.12%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 26.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.12%) and 1-2 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for an Arbroath win it was 1-0 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 26.57% | 28.3% | 45.12% |
| Both teams to score 43.85% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.32% | 61.68% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.5% | 81.49% |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.34% | 39.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.66% | 76.33% |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.67% | 27.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.22% | 62.78% |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 1-0 @ 10.02% 2-1 @ 6.01% 2-0 @ 4.64% 3-1 @ 1.85% 3-0 @ 1.43% 3-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.42% Total : 26.57% | 1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 10.83% 2-2 @ 3.9% Other @ 0.56% Total : 28.29% | 0-1 @ 14.05% 0-2 @ 9.12% 1-2 @ 8.43% 0-3 @ 3.94% 1-3 @ 3.65% 2-3 @ 1.69% 0-4 @ 1.28% 1-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.77% Total : 45.11% |