Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 45.65%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 28.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Arbroath |
| 45.65% | 25.37% | 28.98% |
| Both teams to score 53.87% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.46% | 49.54% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.43% | 71.57% |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.3% | 21.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.14% | 54.85% |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.8% | 31.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.46% | 67.54% |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Arbroath |
| 1-0 @ 10.34% 2-1 @ 9.2% 2-0 @ 7.9% 3-1 @ 4.69% 3-0 @ 4.03% 3-2 @ 2.73% 4-1 @ 1.79% 4-0 @ 1.54% 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.39% Total : 45.65% | 1-1 @ 12.04% 0-0 @ 6.77% 2-2 @ 5.36% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.36% | 0-1 @ 7.89% 1-2 @ 7.02% 0-2 @ 4.59% 1-3 @ 2.72% 2-3 @ 2.08% 0-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.9% Total : 28.98% |