Scottish Championship | Gameweek 5

Sep 11, 2021 at 3pm UK

Rugby Park

Kilmarnock
1 - 0
Morton

McKenzie (75')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Strapp (49'), Oksanen (55')

The Match

Match Report

Killie suffered their first league defeat last time out.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 61.03%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 16.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.14%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kilmarnock in this match.

Result
Kilmarnock	Draw	Greenock Morton
61.03%	22.81%	16.16%

Both teams to score 45.4%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.45%

52.55%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.79%

74.21%

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.18%

16.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.2%

46.79%

Greenock Morton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.57%

45.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.73%

81.27%

Score Analysis

Kilmarnock 61.02%

Greenock Morton 16.16%

Draw 22.8%

Kilmarnock	Draw	Greenock Morton
1-0 @ 13.61% 2-0 @ 12.14% 2-1 @ 9.58% 3-0 @ 7.22% 3-1 @ 5.69% 4-0 @ 3.22% 4-1 @ 2.54% 3-2 @ 2.25% 5-0 @ 1.15% 4-2 @ 1% 5-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.72% Total : 61.02%	1-1 @ 10.74% 0-0 @ 7.64% 2-2 @ 3.78% Other @ 0.65% Total : 22.8%	0-1 @ 6.03% 1-2 @ 4.24% 0-2 @ 2.38% 1-3 @ 1.12% 2-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.41% Total : 16.16%

Kilmarnock1 - 0Morton

The Match

Match Report

Data Analysis

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Kilmarnock
1 - 0
Morton