Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 54.76%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Queen of the South had a probability of 20.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.93%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Queen of the South win it was 1-0 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Kilmarnock in this match.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 20.18% | 25.06% | 54.76% |
| Both teams to score 45.95% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.46% | 55.54% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.28% | 76.71% |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.64% | 42.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.25% | 78.75% |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.73% | 20.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.38% | 52.62% |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 1-0 @ 7.38% 2-1 @ 5.06% 2-0 @ 3.17% 3-1 @ 1.45% 3-2 @ 1.16% 3-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.07% Total : 20.18% | 1-1 @ 11.77% 0-0 @ 8.59% 2-2 @ 4.03% Other @ 0.67% Total : 25.06% | 0-1 @ 13.7% 0-2 @ 10.93% 1-2 @ 9.39% 0-3 @ 5.82% 1-3 @ 5% 0-4 @ 2.32% 2-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 1.99% Other @ 3.44% Total : 54.75% |