Kilmarnock
1 - 2
Dundee

(Dundee win 4-2 on aggregate)

Lafferty (69' pen.)
Tshibola (55'), McKenzie (73'), Whitehall (87')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Mullen (7'), Ashcroft (12')

Reaction

St Johnstone manager Tommy Wright pictured in January 2016

Tommy Wright: 'The players have let Kilmarnock down'

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May 24, 22:13

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 38.2%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 36.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 1-0 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.

Result
Kilmarnock	Draw	Dundee
36.29%	25.51%	38.2%

Both teams to score 55.92%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.99%

48.01%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.82%

70.18%

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.25%

25.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.32%

60.68%

Dundee Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.31%

24.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.77%

59.23%

Score Analysis

Kilmarnock 36.29%

Dundee 38.2%

Draw 25.5%

Kilmarnock	Draw	Dundee
1-0 @ 8.63% 2-1 @ 8.19% 2-0 @ 5.85% 3-1 @ 3.7% 3-0 @ 2.65% 3-2 @ 2.59% 4-1 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.43% Total : 36.29%	1-1 @ 12.06% 0-0 @ 6.36% 2-2 @ 5.73% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.5%	0-1 @ 8.89% 1-2 @ 8.44% 0-2 @ 6.22% 1-3 @ 3.93% 0-3 @ 2.9% 2-3 @ 2.67% 1-4 @ 1.38% 0-4 @ 1.01% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.83% Total : 38.2%