Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 29.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 43.42% | 27.1% | 29.47% |
| Both teams to score 48.83% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.8% | 56.2% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.75% | 77.25% |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.33% | 25.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.43% | 60.57% |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.69% | 34.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.99% | 71.01% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 11.97% 2-1 @ 8.71% 2-0 @ 8.14% 3-1 @ 3.95% 3-0 @ 3.69% 3-2 @ 2.11% 4-1 @ 1.34% 4-0 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.24% Total : 43.42% | 1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 8.81% 2-2 @ 4.66% Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.1% | 0-1 @ 9.42% 1-2 @ 6.85% 0-2 @ 5.04% 1-3 @ 2.44% 0-3 @ 1.8% 2-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.26% Total : 29.47% |