Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 5

May 16, 2021 at 12pm UK

Fountain of Youth Stadium

Hamilton
0 - 2
Kilmarnock

Martin (72')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Pinnock (9', 44')
Dicker (35'), Haunstrup (47'), Kiltie (57'), Oakley (90+3')

The Match

Match Report

Kilmarnock will face Dundee in the play-off final.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hamilton Academical and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 49.32%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10%) and 1-2 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Hamilton Academical win it was 1-0 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
Hamilton Academical	Draw	Kilmarnock
23.6%	27.07%	49.32%

Both teams to score 44.62%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.55%

59.45%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.19%

79.81%

Hamilton Academical Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.89%

41.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.35%

77.65%

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.75%

24.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.4%

58.6%

Score Analysis

Hamilton Academical 23.6%

Kilmarnock 49.32%

Draw 27.07%

Hamilton Academical	Draw	Kilmarnock
1-0 @ 8.86% 2-1 @ 5.58% 2-0 @ 3.94% 3-1 @ 1.65% 3-2 @ 1.17% 3-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.23% Total : 23.6%	1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 9.97% 2-2 @ 3.95% Other @ 0.6% Total : 27.07%	0-1 @ 14.12% 0-2 @ 10% 1-2 @ 8.89% 0-3 @ 4.73% 1-3 @ 4.2% 2-3 @ 1.87% 0-4 @ 1.67% 1-4 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.35% Total : 49.32%