Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 0-1 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Dundee United |
| 40.18% | 27.64% | 32.18% |
| Both teams to score 48.33% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.66% | 57.34% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.83% | 78.17% |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.06% | 27.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.43% | 63.57% |
| Dundee United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.06% | 32.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.48% | 69.52% |
| Score Analysis |
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Dundee United |
| 1-0 @ 11.73% 2-1 @ 8.31% 2-0 @ 7.48% 3-1 @ 3.53% 3-0 @ 3.18% 3-2 @ 1.96% 4-1 @ 1.13% 4-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.84% Total : 40.17% | 1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 9.2% 2-2 @ 4.61% Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.64% | 0-1 @ 10.22% 1-2 @ 7.24% 0-2 @ 5.68% 1-3 @ 2.68% 0-3 @ 2.1% 2-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.56% Total : 32.18% |