Kilmarnock logo
Scottish Cup | Quarter-Finals
Apr 26, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
BBSP Stadium Rugby Park
St Mirren logo

Kilmarnock
3 - 3
St Mirren

Rossi (37'), Kiltie (44'), Millen (101' pen.)
Oakley (66'), Tshibola (90+3'), Dicker (108')
FT
(aet)
Durmus (25'), Shaughnessy (84'), McGrath (119' pen.)
McCarthy (82'), McAllister (101'), Alnwick (101')
St Mirren win 5-4 on penalties

The Match

Match Report

The contest had finished 2-2 in normal time.

Team News

Killie have recorded four wins and a draw in their last five matches.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Scottish Cup clash between Kilmarnock and St Mirren, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 41.19%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%).

Result
KilmarnockDrawSt Mirren
41.19%26.49%32.32%
Both teams to score 51.88%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.16%52.84%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.54%74.46%
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.7%25.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.93%60.07%
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.46%30.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.23%66.77%
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 41.19%
    St Mirren 32.32%
    Draw 26.48%
KilmarnockDrawSt Mirren
1-0 @ 10.62%
2-1 @ 8.66%
2-0 @ 7.3%
3-1 @ 3.97%
3-0 @ 3.34%
3-2 @ 2.35%
4-1 @ 1.36%
4-0 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 41.19%
1-1 @ 12.59%
0-0 @ 7.73%
2-2 @ 5.13%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.48%
0-1 @ 9.17%
1-2 @ 7.47%
0-2 @ 5.44%
1-3 @ 2.95%
0-3 @ 2.15%
2-3 @ 2.03%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 32.32%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs St Mirren

Kilmarnock
41.2%
Draw
23.5%
St Mirren
35.3%
17