Stenhousemuir
Scottish Cup | Third Round
Apr 3, 2021 at 3pm UK
Ochilview Park
Kilmarnock logo

Stenhousemuir
0 - 4
Kilmarnock


Yeats (60'), Tapping (72')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Lafferty (38' pen., 45+1', 56'), Oakley (87')
Power (74')

The Match

Match Report

George Oakley was also on target in a 4-0 Scottish Cup success at Stenhousemuir.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 55.54%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 21.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.87%) and 0-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Stenhousemuir win it was 1-0 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
StenhousemuirDrawKilmarnock
21.74%22.72%55.54%
Both teams to score 55.23%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.67%44.33%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.3%66.7%
Stenhousemuir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.61%34.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.9%71.1%
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.18%15.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.02%44.98%
Score Analysis
    Stenhousemuir 21.74%
    Kilmarnock 55.54%
    Draw 22.71%
StenhousemuirDrawKilmarnock
1-0 @ 5.81%
2-1 @ 5.71%
2-0 @ 3.1%
3-1 @ 2.03%
3-2 @ 1.88%
3-0 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 21.74%
1-1 @ 10.7%
0-0 @ 5.44%
2-2 @ 5.27%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.71%
0-1 @ 10.03%
1-2 @ 9.87%
0-2 @ 9.25%
1-3 @ 6.07%
0-3 @ 5.69%
2-3 @ 3.24%
1-4 @ 2.8%
0-4 @ 2.62%
2-4 @ 1.49%
1-5 @ 1.03%
0-5 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 55.54%