Scottish Cup | Third Round
Apr 3, 2021 at 3pm UK
Ochilview Park
Stenhousemuir0 - 4Kilmarnock
Reaction
Tommy Wright: 'We must confidence from Stenhousemuir win'
Killie have now scored 10 goals in their past three games.
Apr 4, 11:54
Tommy Wright hails Kyle Lafferty influence after cup hat-trick
Killie's Northern Ireland international helped Kilmarnock to a 4-0 win at Stenhousemuir in the Scottish Cup.
Apr 3, 19:33
The Match
Match Report
George Oakley was also on target in a 4-0 Scottish Cup success at Stenhousemuir.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 55.54%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 21.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.87%) and 0-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Stenhousemuir win it was 1-0 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 21.74% | 22.72% | 55.54% |
| Both teams to score 55.23% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
