Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 42.68%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 1-0 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stranraer | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 31.92% | 25.41% | 42.68% |
| Both teams to score 55.25% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.57% | 48.43% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.43% | 70.57% |
| Stranraer Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.39% | 28.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.58% | 64.41% |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.39% | 22.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.77% | 56.23% |
| Score Analysis |
Stranraer 31.92%
Greenock Morton 42.68%
Draw 25.4%
| Stranraer | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 8.1% 2-1 @ 7.53% 2-0 @ 5.07% 3-1 @ 3.14% 3-2 @ 2.34% 3-0 @ 2.11% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.66% Total : 31.92% | 1-1 @ 12.03% 0-0 @ 6.47% 2-2 @ 5.6% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 9.62% 1-2 @ 8.95% 0-2 @ 7.15% 1-3 @ 4.43% 0-3 @ 3.54% 2-3 @ 2.77% 1-4 @ 1.65% 0-4 @ 1.32% 2-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.21% Total : 42.68% |


