Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 47%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 26.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (8.8%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamilton Academical would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
| 26.74% | 26.26% | 47% |
| Both teams to score 49.56% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.59% | 54.41% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.22% | 75.78% |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.48% | 35.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.72% | 72.28% |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.86% | 23.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43% | 57% |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
| 1-0 @ 8.51% 2-1 @ 6.45% 2-0 @ 4.4% 3-1 @ 2.22% 3-2 @ 1.63% 3-0 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.01% Total : 26.74% | 1-1 @ 12.45% 0-0 @ 8.22% 2-2 @ 4.72% Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.26% | 0-1 @ 12.02% 1-2 @ 9.11% 0-2 @ 8.8% 1-3 @ 4.45% 0-3 @ 4.3% 2-3 @ 2.3% 1-4 @ 1.63% 0-4 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.82% Total : 46.99% |