Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 39.29%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamilton Academical would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 39.29% | 26.64% | 34.07% |
| Both teams to score 51.84% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.89% | 53.1% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.32% | 74.68% |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.56% | 26.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.39% | 61.61% |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.47% | 29.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.45% | 65.55% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 1-0 @ 10.38% 2-1 @ 8.43% 2-0 @ 6.91% 3-1 @ 3.74% 3-0 @ 3.06% 3-2 @ 2.28% 4-1 @ 1.24% 4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.22% Total : 39.28% | 1-1 @ 12.66% 0-0 @ 7.81% 2-2 @ 5.14% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.63% | 0-1 @ 9.52% 1-2 @ 7.73% 0-2 @ 5.81% 1-3 @ 3.14% 0-3 @ 2.36% 2-3 @ 2.09% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.46% Total : 34.07% |