Ayr
0 - 1
Kilmarnock

Reading (25'), Adeloye (68')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Shaw (89' pen.)
McGowan (45+2'), Murray (80'), Shaw (90')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Ayr United and Kilmarnock.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 51.81%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 21.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.67%) and 1-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for an Ayr United win it was 1-0 (8.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Kilmarnock in this match.

Result
Ayr United	Draw	Kilmarnock
21.63%	26.56%	51.81%

Both teams to score 43.86%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.7%

59.3%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.3%

79.7%

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57%

42.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.71%

79.29%

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.94%

23.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.11%

56.88%

Score Analysis

Ayr United 21.63%

Kilmarnock 51.81%

Draw 26.55%

Ayr United	Draw	Kilmarnock
1-0 @ 8.37% 2-1 @ 5.18% 2-0 @ 3.53% 3-1 @ 1.46% 3-2 @ 1.07% 3-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.03% Total : 21.63%	1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 9.91% 2-2 @ 3.8% Other @ 0.57% Total : 26.55%	0-1 @ 14.54% 0-2 @ 10.67% 1-2 @ 9.01% 0-3 @ 5.22% 1-3 @ 4.41% 0-4 @ 1.91% 2-3 @ 1.86% 1-4 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.58% Total : 51.81%