Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 48.69%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 25.12%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (8.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Ayr United |
| 48.69% | 26.19% | 25.12% |
| Both teams to score 48.45% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.8% | 55.2% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.57% | 76.43% |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.3% | 22.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.64% | 56.36% |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.68% | 37.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.9% | 74.11% |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Ayr United |
| 1-0 @ 12.56% 2-0 @ 9.31% 2-1 @ 9.18% 3-0 @ 4.6% 3-1 @ 4.54% 3-2 @ 2.24% 4-0 @ 1.71% 4-1 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.87% Total : 48.69% | 1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 8.47% 2-2 @ 4.52% Other @ 0.81% Total : 26.18% | 0-1 @ 8.35% 1-2 @ 6.1% 0-2 @ 4.12% 1-3 @ 2.01% 2-3 @ 1.49% 0-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 1.71% Total : 25.12% |