Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 50.16%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Queen of the South had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Queen of the South win it was 0-1 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 50.16% | 25.44% | 24.4% |
| Both teams to score 49.91% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.06% | 52.94% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.45% | 74.54% |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.87% | 21.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.03% | 53.97% |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.27% | 36.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.49% | 73.51% |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 1-0 @ 12.06% 2-1 @ 9.39% 2-0 @ 9.38% 3-1 @ 4.87% 3-0 @ 4.86% 3-2 @ 2.44% 4-1 @ 1.89% 4-0 @ 1.89% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.43% Total : 50.16% | 1-1 @ 12.08% 0-0 @ 7.76% 2-2 @ 4.71% Other @ 0.9% Total : 25.44% | 0-1 @ 7.77% 1-2 @ 6.05% 0-2 @ 3.89% 1-3 @ 2.02% 2-3 @ 1.57% 0-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.79% Total : 24.4% |