Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 41.93% | 27.84% | 30.22% |
| Both teams to score 47.06% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.38% | 58.61% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.83% | 79.17% |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.42% | 27.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.9% | 63.09% |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.97% | 35.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.23% | 71.77% |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 12.44% 2-1 @ 8.41% 2-0 @ 8.02% 3-1 @ 3.61% 3-0 @ 3.44% 3-2 @ 1.89% 4-1 @ 1.16% 4-0 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.85% Total : 41.93% | 1-1 @ 13.05% 0-0 @ 9.66% 2-2 @ 4.41% Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.84% | 0-1 @ 10.13% 1-2 @ 6.85% 0-2 @ 5.31% 1-3 @ 2.39% 0-3 @ 1.86% 2-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.14% Total : 30.22% |