Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 44.38%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 27.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.83%) and 2-1 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.02%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 44.38% | 28.13% | 27.49% |
| Both teams to score 44.86% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.3% | 60.69% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.23% | 80.76% |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.74% | 27.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.32% | 62.68% |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.67% | 38.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.91% | 75.08% |
| Score Analysis |
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 13.57% 2-0 @ 8.83% 2-1 @ 8.47% 3-0 @ 3.83% 3-1 @ 3.67% 3-2 @ 1.76% 4-0 @ 1.24% 4-1 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.82% Total : 44.37% | 1-1 @ 13.02% 0-0 @ 10.44% 2-2 @ 4.06% Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.13% | 0-1 @ 10.01% 1-2 @ 6.24% 0-2 @ 4.8% 1-3 @ 2% 0-3 @ 1.54% 2-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.6% Total : 27.48% |