Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 56.43%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 17.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.32%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (7.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 56.43% | 25.96% | 17.6% |
| Both teams to score 39.89% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.57% | 61.43% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.68% | 81.31% |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.02% | 21.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.72% | 55.27% |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.13% | 48.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.14% | 83.86% |
| Score Analysis |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 16.27% 2-0 @ 12.32% 2-1 @ 8.83% 3-0 @ 6.23% 3-1 @ 4.46% 4-0 @ 2.36% 4-1 @ 1.69% 3-2 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.68% Total : 56.42% | 1-1 @ 11.65% 0-0 @ 10.73% 2-2 @ 3.16% Other @ 0.41% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 7.69% 1-2 @ 4.17% 0-2 @ 2.75% 1-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.99% Total : 17.6% |