Elgin
2 - 4
Inverness

Grivosti (9'), Cameron (22')
MacEwan (26'), Grivosti (63'), Mailer (68'), Dingwall (70')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Mckay (38', 40', 68'), Jamieson (72')
McAlear (62')

Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Third Round clash between Elgin City and Inverness Caledonian Thistle.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 59.46%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Elgin City had a probability of 19.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.14%) and 0-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Elgin City win it was 2-1 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.

Result
Elgin City	Draw	Inverness Caledonian Thistle
19.54%	21%	59.46%

Both teams to score 57.63%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.48%

39.51%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.14%

61.86%

Elgin City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.22%

33.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.56%

70.44%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.03%

12.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.54%

39.45%

Score Analysis

Elgin City 19.54%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 59.46%

Draw 21%

Elgin City	Draw	Inverness Caledonian Thistle
2-1 @ 5.27% 1-0 @ 4.75% 2-0 @ 2.58% 3-2 @ 1.95% 3-1 @ 1.91% 3-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.14% Total : 19.54%	1-1 @ 9.71% 2-2 @ 5.38% 0-0 @ 4.38% 3-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 0.2% Total : 21%	1-2 @ 9.92% 0-2 @ 9.14% 0-1 @ 8.95% 1-3 @ 6.75% 0-3 @ 6.22% 2-3 @ 3.67% 1-4 @ 3.45% 0-4 @ 3.18% 2-4 @ 1.87% 1-5 @ 1.41% 0-5 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.6% Total : 59.46%

Elgin2 - 4Inverness

Data Analysis

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Elgin
2 - 4
Inverness