Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 43.13%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 29.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 43.13% | 27.75% | 29.12% |
| Both teams to score 46.82% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.33% | 58.67% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.79% | 79.21% |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.04% | 26.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.7% | 62.29% |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.1% | 35.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.32% | 72.67% |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 12.68% 2-1 @ 8.52% 2-0 @ 8.32% 3-1 @ 3.72% 3-0 @ 3.63% 3-2 @ 1.91% 4-1 @ 1.22% 4-0 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.94% Total : 43.12% | 1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 9.68% 2-2 @ 4.36% Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.74% | 0-1 @ 9.91% 1-2 @ 6.66% 0-2 @ 5.08% 1-3 @ 2.27% 0-3 @ 1.73% 2-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 1.97% Total : 29.12% |