Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 62.98%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 15.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.42%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Kilmarnock | Draw | Arbroath |
62.98% | 21.18% | 15.84% |
Both teams to score 49.6% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.47% | 46.52% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.2% | 68.8% |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.85% | 14.15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.18% | 41.82% |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.77% | 42.23% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.37% | 78.63% |
Score Analysis |
Kilmarnock | Draw | Arbroath |
1-0 @ 11.68% 2-0 @ 11.42% 2-1 @ 9.85% 3-0 @ 7.45% 3-1 @ 6.42% 4-0 @ 3.64% 4-1 @ 3.14% 3-2 @ 2.77% 5-0 @ 1.42% 4-2 @ 1.35% 5-1 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.6% Total : 62.97% | 1-1 @ 10.07% 0-0 @ 5.97% 2-2 @ 4.25% Other @ 0.89% Total : 21.17% | 0-1 @ 5.15% 1-2 @ 4.34% 0-2 @ 2.22% 1-3 @ 1.25% 2-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.66% Total : 15.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 69 | 22 | 47 | 71 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 65 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 62 | 50 | 12 | 54 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 44 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 43 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 50 | 58 | -8 | 42 |
8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 38 |
9 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 37 |
10 | Arbroath | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 35 | 79 | -44 | 23 |
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