Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 62.98%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 15.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.42%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Arbroath |
| 62.98% | 21.18% | 15.84% |
| Both teams to score 49.6% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.47% | 46.52% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.2% | 68.8% |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.85% | 14.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.18% | 41.82% |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.77% | 42.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.37% | 78.63% |
| Score Analysis |
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Arbroath |
| 1-0 @ 11.68% 2-0 @ 11.42% 2-1 @ 9.85% 3-0 @ 7.45% 3-1 @ 6.42% 4-0 @ 3.64% 4-1 @ 3.14% 3-2 @ 2.77% 5-0 @ 1.42% 4-2 @ 1.35% 5-1 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.6% Total : 62.97% | 1-1 @ 10.07% 0-0 @ 5.97% 2-2 @ 4.25% Other @ 0.89% Total : 21.17% | 0-1 @ 5.15% 1-2 @ 4.34% 0-2 @ 2.22% 1-3 @ 1.25% 2-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.66% Total : 15.84% |