Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 49.18%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 24.04%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Dunfermline Athletic win it was 0-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 49.18% | 26.78% | 24.04% |
| Both teams to score 45.8% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.86% | 58.13% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.21% | 78.79% |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.26% | 23.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.12% | 57.88% |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.05% | 39.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.39% | 76.61% |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 13.63% 2-0 @ 9.81% 2-1 @ 9% 3-0 @ 4.7% 3-1 @ 4.31% 3-2 @ 1.98% 4-0 @ 1.69% 4-1 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.51% Total : 49.17% | 1-1 @ 12.51% 0-0 @ 9.48% 2-2 @ 4.13% Other @ 0.66% Total : 26.78% | 0-1 @ 8.7% 1-2 @ 5.74% 0-2 @ 3.99% 1-3 @ 1.76% 2-3 @ 1.26% 0-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.36% Total : 24.04% |