Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 49.18%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 24.04%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Dunfermline Athletic win it was 0-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.
Result | ||
Arbroath | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
49.18% | 26.78% | 24.04% |
Both teams to score 45.8% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.86% | 58.13% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.21% | 78.79% |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.26% | 23.74% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.12% | 57.88% |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.05% | 39.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.39% | 76.61% |
Score Analysis |
Arbroath | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
1-0 @ 13.63% 2-0 @ 9.81% 2-1 @ 9% 3-0 @ 4.7% 3-1 @ 4.31% 3-2 @ 1.98% 4-0 @ 1.69% 4-1 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.51% Total : 49.17% | 1-1 @ 12.51% 0-0 @ 9.48% 2-2 @ 4.13% Other @ 0.66% Total : 26.78% | 0-1 @ 8.7% 1-2 @ 5.74% 0-2 @ 3.99% 1-3 @ 1.76% 2-3 @ 1.26% 0-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.36% Total : 24.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 35 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 69 | 22 | 47 | 72 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 65 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 62 | 50 | 12 | 54 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 35 | 15 | 7 | 13 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 52 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 44 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 43 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 50 | 58 | -8 | 42 |
8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 38 |
9 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 37 |
10 | Arbroath | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 35 | 79 | -44 | 23 |
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