Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 62.88%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 14.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.84%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Arbroath |
| 62.88% | 22.4% | 14.72% |
| Both teams to score 43.46% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.58% | 53.42% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.05% | 74.95% |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.51% | 16.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.8% | 46.2% |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.04% | 47.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.8% | 83.2% |
| Score Analysis |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Arbroath |
| 1-0 @ 14.25% 2-0 @ 12.84% 2-1 @ 9.44% 3-0 @ 7.72% 3-1 @ 5.67% 4-0 @ 3.48% 4-1 @ 2.56% 3-2 @ 2.09% 5-0 @ 1.26% 4-2 @ 0.94% 5-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.71% Total : 62.87% | 1-1 @ 10.47% 0-0 @ 7.91% 2-2 @ 3.47% Other @ 0.56% Total : 22.4% | 0-1 @ 5.81% 1-2 @ 3.85% 0-2 @ 2.13% 1-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.99% Total : 14.72% |