Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 41.65% | 25.73% | 32.61% |
| Both teams to score 54.43% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.39% | 49.61% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.37% | 71.63% |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.38% | 23.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.29% | 57.71% |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.26% | 28.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.42% | 64.57% |
| Score Analysis |
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 1-0 @ 9.8% 2-1 @ 8.81% 2-0 @ 7.07% 3-1 @ 4.24% 3-0 @ 3.4% 3-2 @ 2.64% 4-1 @ 1.53% 4-0 @ 1.23% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.99% Total : 41.65% | 1-1 @ 12.21% 0-0 @ 6.79% 2-2 @ 5.5% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.73% | 0-1 @ 8.47% 1-2 @ 7.62% 0-2 @ 5.28% 1-3 @ 3.17% 2-3 @ 2.28% 0-3 @ 2.19% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.63% Total : 32.62% |