Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 56.05%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 20.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Arbroath |
| 56.05% | 23.4% | 20.54% |
| Both teams to score 51.29% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.28% | 48.71% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.17% | 70.82% |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.8% | 17.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.53% | 47.47% |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.94% | 38.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.17% | 74.82% |
| Score Analysis |
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Arbroath |
| 1-0 @ 11.52% 2-0 @ 10.14% 2-1 @ 9.8% 3-0 @ 5.95% 3-1 @ 5.75% 3-2 @ 2.78% 4-0 @ 2.62% 4-1 @ 2.53% 4-2 @ 1.22% 5-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.82% Total : 56.05% | 1-1 @ 11.13% 0-0 @ 6.54% 2-2 @ 4.73% Other @ 1% Total : 23.4% | 0-1 @ 6.32% 1-2 @ 5.38% 0-2 @ 3.05% 1-3 @ 1.73% 2-3 @ 1.52% 0-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.55% Total : 20.54% |