Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 45.29%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 26.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.95%) and 1-2 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win it was 1-0 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 26.98% | 27.73% | 45.29% |
| Both teams to score 45.62% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.44% | 59.56% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.1% | 79.9% |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.87% | 38.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.11% | 74.89% |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.74% | 26.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.63% | 61.37% |
| Score Analysis |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 1-0 @ 9.65% 2-1 @ 6.22% 2-0 @ 4.65% 3-1 @ 2% 3-0 @ 1.5% 3-2 @ 1.34% Other @ 1.62% Total : 26.98% | 1-1 @ 12.9% 0-0 @ 10.01% 2-2 @ 4.16% Other @ 0.65% Total : 27.72% | 0-1 @ 13.38% 0-2 @ 8.95% 1-2 @ 8.63% 0-3 @ 3.99% 1-3 @ 3.85% 2-3 @ 1.86% 0-4 @ 1.33% 1-4 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.01% Total : 45.28% |