Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 32.77% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 1-0 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 32.77% | 27.04% | 40.19% |
| Both teams to score 50.3% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.07% | 54.93% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.79% | 76.21% |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.7% | 31.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.35% | 67.65% |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.21% | 26.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.92% | 62.08% |
| Score Analysis |
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 1-0 @ 9.74% 2-1 @ 7.45% 2-0 @ 5.66% 3-1 @ 2.89% 3-0 @ 2.19% 3-2 @ 1.9% Other @ 2.94% Total : 32.77% | 1-1 @ 12.82% 0-0 @ 8.39% 2-2 @ 4.91% Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.03% | 0-1 @ 11.04% 1-2 @ 8.45% 0-2 @ 7.27% 1-3 @ 3.71% 0-3 @ 3.19% 2-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 1.22% 0-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.1% Total : 40.19% |