Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 36.16%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.72%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (11.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 36.16% | 28.15% | 35.68% |
| Both teams to score 47.34% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.18% | 58.81% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.67% | 79.33% |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.96% | 31.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.64% | 67.36% |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.65% | 31.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.29% | 67.71% |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 11.38% 2-1 @ 7.72% 2-0 @ 6.66% 3-1 @ 3.01% 3-0 @ 2.6% 3-2 @ 1.75% Other @ 3.05% Total : 36.16% | 1-1 @ 13.2% 0-0 @ 9.73% 2-2 @ 4.48% Other @ 0.74% Total : 28.15% | 0-1 @ 11.28% 1-2 @ 7.66% 0-2 @ 6.55% 1-3 @ 2.96% 0-3 @ 2.53% 2-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.96% Total : 35.68% |