Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 51.41%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 22.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 51.41% | 25.87% | 22.71% |
| Both teams to score 46.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.02% | 55.98% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.92% | 77.07% |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.16% | 21.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.94% | 55.06% |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60% | 40% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.35% | 76.65% |
| Score Analysis |
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 13.28% 2-0 @ 10.11% 2-1 @ 9.27% 3-0 @ 5.13% 3-1 @ 4.7% 3-2 @ 2.15% 4-0 @ 1.95% 4-1 @ 1.79% Other @ 3.03% Total : 51.4% | 1-1 @ 12.17% 0-0 @ 8.73% 2-2 @ 4.25% Other @ 0.72% Total : 25.87% | 0-1 @ 8% 1-2 @ 5.58% 0-2 @ 3.67% 1-3 @ 1.7% 2-3 @ 1.3% 0-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.34% Total : 22.71% |