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Scottish Championship | Gameweek 16
Dec 4, 2021 at 3pm UK
New Douglas Park
Dunfermline Athletic

Hamilton
1 - 0
Dunfermline

Moyo (61' pen.)
Martin (75'), Popescu (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

O'Hara (72'), Connolly (86'), McCann (88')
Dorrans (61')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Hamilton Academical and Dunfermline Athletic.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 30.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hamilton Academical in this match.

Result
Hamilton AcademicalDrawDunfermline Athletic
43.4%26.45%30.15%
Both teams to score 51.11%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.57%53.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.04%74.96%
Hamilton Academical Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.56%24.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.13%58.88%
Dunfermline Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.64%32.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.13%68.88%
Score Analysis
    Hamilton Academical 43.4%
    Dunfermline Athletic 30.15%
    Draw 26.45%
Hamilton AcademicalDrawDunfermline Athletic
1-0 @ 11.14%
2-1 @ 8.86%
2-0 @ 7.85%
3-1 @ 4.16%
3-0 @ 3.69%
3-2 @ 2.35%
4-1 @ 1.47%
4-0 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 43.4%
1-1 @ 12.57%
0-0 @ 7.91%
2-2 @ 5%
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.45%
0-1 @ 8.92%
1-2 @ 7.09%
0-2 @ 5.03%
1-3 @ 2.67%
0-3 @ 1.89%
2-3 @ 1.88%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 30.15%