Arbroath

2 - 1

Morton

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 54.25%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 20.04%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.16%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.