Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 44.23%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 1-0 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.
Result | ||
Greenock Morton | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
28.95% | 26.82% | 44.23% |
Both teams to score 49.38% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.64% | 55.35% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.44% | 76.56% |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.74% | 34.26% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.04% | 70.96% |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.12% | 24.88% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.5% | 59.49% |
Score Analysis |
Greenock Morton | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
1-0 @ 9.13% 2-1 @ 6.8% 2-0 @ 4.89% 3-1 @ 2.43% 3-0 @ 1.75% 3-2 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.26% Total : 28.95% | 1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 8.52% 2-2 @ 4.73% Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.82% | 0-1 @ 11.85% 1-2 @ 8.84% 0-2 @ 8.25% 1-3 @ 4.1% 0-3 @ 3.82% 2-3 @ 2.19% 1-4 @ 1.43% 0-4 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.42% Total : 44.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 35 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 69 | 22 | 47 | 72 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 65 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 62 | 50 | 12 | 54 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 35 | 15 | 7 | 13 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 52 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 44 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 43 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 50 | 58 | -8 | 42 |
8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 38 |
9 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 37 |
10 | Arbroath | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 35 | 79 | -44 | 23 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |