Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 45.62%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (8.52%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.
Result | ||
Queen of the South | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
27.85% | 26.54% | 45.62% |
Both teams to score 49.54% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.18% | 54.82% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.88% | 76.12% |
Queen of the South Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.16% | 34.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.42% | 71.58% |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.04% | 23.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.8% | 58.2% |
Score Analysis |
Queen of the South | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
1-0 @ 8.8% 2-1 @ 6.63% 2-0 @ 4.64% 3-1 @ 2.33% 3-2 @ 1.67% 3-0 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.14% Total : 27.85% | 1-1 @ 12.57% 0-0 @ 8.35% 2-2 @ 4.74% Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.53% | 0-1 @ 11.92% 1-2 @ 8.98% 0-2 @ 8.52% 1-3 @ 4.28% 0-3 @ 4.06% 2-3 @ 2.26% 1-4 @ 1.53% 0-4 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.62% Total : 45.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 69 | 22 | 47 | 71 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 65 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 62 | 50 | 12 | 54 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 44 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 43 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 50 | 58 | -8 | 42 |
8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 38 |
9 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 37 |
10 | Arbroath | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 35 | 79 | -44 | 23 |
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