Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 45.62%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (8.52%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 27.85% | 26.54% | 45.62% |
| Both teams to score 49.54% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.18% | 54.82% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.88% | 76.12% |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.16% | 34.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.42% | 71.58% |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.04% | 23.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.8% | 58.2% |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 1-0 @ 8.8% 2-1 @ 6.63% 2-0 @ 4.64% 3-1 @ 2.33% 3-2 @ 1.67% 3-0 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.14% Total : 27.85% | 1-1 @ 12.57% 0-0 @ 8.35% 2-2 @ 4.74% Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.53% | 0-1 @ 11.92% 1-2 @ 8.98% 0-2 @ 8.52% 1-3 @ 4.28% 0-3 @ 4.06% 2-3 @ 2.26% 1-4 @ 1.53% 0-4 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.62% Total : 45.61% |