Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 44.89%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 27.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.79%) and 1-2 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for an Ayr United win it was 1-0 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 27.49% | 27.62% | 44.89% |
| Both teams to score 46.25% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.06% | 58.94% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.58% | 79.42% |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.64% | 37.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.86% | 74.14% |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.83% | 26.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.75% | 61.25% |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 1-0 @ 9.63% 2-1 @ 6.35% 2-0 @ 4.74% 3-1 @ 2.09% 3-0 @ 1.56% 3-2 @ 1.4% Other @ 1.73% Total : 27.49% | 1-1 @ 12.9% 0-0 @ 9.78% 2-2 @ 4.26% Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.62% | 0-1 @ 13.1% 0-2 @ 8.79% 1-2 @ 8.65% 0-3 @ 3.93% 1-3 @ 3.87% 2-3 @ 1.9% 0-4 @ 1.32% 1-4 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.05% Total : 44.89% |