Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 44.89%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 27.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.89%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Ayr United |
| 44.89% | 27.59% | 27.52% |
| Both teams to score 46.35% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.19% | 58.81% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.67% | 79.32% |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.88% | 26.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.82% | 61.17% |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.73% | 37.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.95% | 74.05% |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Ayr United |
| 1-0 @ 13.06% 2-0 @ 8.77% 2-1 @ 8.66% 3-0 @ 3.93% 3-1 @ 3.88% 3-2 @ 1.91% 4-0 @ 1.32% 4-1 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.06% Total : 44.89% | 1-1 @ 12.89% 0-0 @ 9.73% 2-2 @ 4.27% Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.58% | 0-1 @ 9.61% 1-2 @ 6.37% 0-2 @ 4.74% 1-3 @ 2.09% 0-3 @ 1.56% 2-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 1.75% Total : 27.52% |