Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (8.69%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-0 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Partick Thistle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Partick Thistle |
| 27.4% | 26.75% | 45.85% |
| Both teams to score 48.62% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.14% | 55.86% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.02% | 76.98% |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.24% | 35.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.47% | 72.53% |
| Partick Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.69% | 24.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.31% | 58.7% |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Partick Thistle |
| 1-0 @ 8.94% 2-1 @ 6.5% 2-0 @ 4.6% 3-1 @ 2.23% 3-0 @ 1.58% 3-2 @ 1.58% Other @ 1.98% Total : 27.4% | 1-1 @ 12.64% 0-0 @ 8.69% 2-2 @ 4.6% Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.75% | 0-1 @ 12.29% 1-2 @ 8.94% 0-2 @ 8.69% 1-3 @ 4.21% 0-3 @ 4.1% 2-3 @ 2.17% 1-4 @ 1.49% 0-4 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.51% Total : 45.85% |