Ayr
1 - 0
Arbroath

Maxwell (18')
Baird (83')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Ayr United and Arbroath.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 37.54%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ayr United in this match.

Result
Ayr United	Draw	Arbroath
37.54%	27.58%	34.88%

Both teams to score 49.03%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.31%

56.69%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.35%

77.65%

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.85%

29.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.92%

65.08%

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.21%

30.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.94%

67.06%

Score Analysis

Ayr United 37.54%

Arbroath 34.88%

Draw 27.57%

Ayr United	Draw	Arbroath
1-0 @ 11.06% 2-1 @ 8.03% 2-0 @ 6.82% 3-1 @ 3.3% 3-0 @ 2.8% 3-2 @ 1.94% 4-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.56% Total : 37.54%	1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 8.98% 2-2 @ 4.73% Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.57%	0-1 @ 10.57% 1-2 @ 7.68% 0-2 @ 6.23% 1-3 @ 3.01% 0-3 @ 2.45% 2-3 @ 1.86% Other @ 3.09% Total : 34.88%