Scottish Championship Gameweek 22
Jan 8, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • James Maxwell 18' goal
  • Jack Baird 83' yellowcard

Ayr United vs Arbroath - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Dec 26, 2021 3.00pm
Ayr 2 - 0 Raith Rovers
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Tomi Adeloye

Arbroath

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Jan 2, 2022 3.00pm
Arbroath 0 - 0 Inverness
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Michael McKenna

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 37.54%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ayr United in this match.

Result

Ayr United 37.54%
Draw 27.58%
Arbroath 34.88%

Both Teams to Score: 

49.03%

Goals

Over 2.5 43.31%
Under 2.5 56.69%
Over 3.5 22.35%
Under 3.5 77.65%

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5 70.85%
Under 0.5 29.15%
Over 1.5 34.92%
Under 1.5 65.08%

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5 69.21%
Under 0.5 30.79%
Over 1.5 32.94%
Under 1.5 67.06%

Score analysis

Ayr United 37.54%
Draw 27.57%
Arbroath 34.88%
Ayr United
1-0 @ 11.06%
2-1 @ 8.03%
2-0 @ 6.82%
3-1 @ 3.3%
3-0 @ 2.8%
3-2 @ 1.94%
4-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 37.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.03%
0-0 @ 8.98%
2-2 @ 4.73%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.57%
Arbroath
0-1 @ 10.57%
1-2 @ 7.68%
0-2 @ 6.23%
1-3 @ 3.01%
0-3 @ 2.45%
2-3 @ 1.86%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 34.88%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship Gameweek 10
Oct 23, 2021 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Michael McKenna 56' goal
  • yellowcard Tomi Adeloye 7'
  • yellowcard Andy Murdoch 76'
  • goal Jonathan Afolabi 80'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 2
Aug 7, 2021 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT Somerset Park
  • Tomi Adeloye 25' yellowcard
  • Markus Fjortoft 59' yellowcard
  • Tomi Adeloye 70' goal
  • Mark McKenzie 87' goal
  • goal Jon Nouble 10'
  • goal Michael McKenna 28'
  • yellowcard CJ Hamilton 69'
  • yellowcard Nicky Low 76'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 25
Apr 17, 2021 12.00pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Ricky Little 11' goal
  • Ben Williamson 24' goal
  • Jack Hamilton 27' goal
  • Dale Hilson 65' goal
  • yellowcard Michael Miller 31'
  • yellowcard Aaron Muirhead 34'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 18
Feb 27, 2021 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Corrie Ndaba 54' yellowcard
  • goal Michael McKenna 63'
  • yellowcard Colin Hamilton 75'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 8
Dec 19, 2020 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • James Craigen 36' goal
  • James Craigen 38' goal
  • Miko Virtanen 58' yellowcard
  • Jason Thomson 67' yellowcard
  • Michael McKenna 86' yellowcard
  • Colin Hamilton 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Jack Baird 88'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 35
Apr 25, 2020 3.00pm
Somerset Park