Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 41.6%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 41.6% | 26.92% | 31.47% |
| Both teams to score 50.24% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.18% | 54.81% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.88% | 76.12% |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.02% | 25.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39% | 61% |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.87% | 32.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.39% | 68.61% |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 1-0 @ 11.25% 2-1 @ 8.61% 2-0 @ 7.58% 3-1 @ 3.87% 3-0 @ 3.41% 3-2 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.24% Total : 41.6% | 1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 8.35% 2-2 @ 4.89% Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.92% | 0-1 @ 9.48% 1-2 @ 7.25% 0-2 @ 5.38% 1-3 @ 2.75% 0-3 @ 2.04% 2-3 @ 1.85% Other @ 2.73% Total : 31.47% |