Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 49.54%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 24.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.33%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Arbroath |
| 49.54% | 25.72% | 24.73% |
| Both teams to score 49.43% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.26% | 53.74% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.78% | 75.22% |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.28% | 21.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.12% | 54.88% |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.14% | 36.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.35% | 73.65% |
| Score Analysis |
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Arbroath |
| 1-0 @ 12.22% 2-0 @ 9.33% 2-1 @ 9.32% 3-0 @ 4.75% 3-1 @ 4.74% 3-2 @ 2.37% 4-0 @ 1.81% 4-1 @ 1.81% 4-2 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.28% Total : 49.54% | 1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 8% 2-2 @ 4.65% Other @ 0.87% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 7.99% 1-2 @ 6.09% 0-2 @ 3.99% 1-3 @ 2.03% 2-3 @ 1.55% 0-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 1.77% Total : 24.73% |