Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 60.18%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Queen of the South had a probability of 18.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Queen of the South win it was 0-1 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 60.18% | 21.81% | 18.01% |
| Both teams to score 52.03% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.43% | 45.57% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.1% | 67.89% |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.29% | 14.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.09% | 42.91% |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.01% | 38.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.28% | 75.71% |
| Score Analysis |
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 1-0 @ 10.99% 2-0 @ 10.53% 2-1 @ 9.92% 3-0 @ 6.73% 3-1 @ 6.34% 4-0 @ 3.23% 4-1 @ 3.04% 3-2 @ 2.99% 4-2 @ 1.43% 5-0 @ 1.24% 5-1 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.58% Total : 60.17% | 1-1 @ 10.35% 0-0 @ 5.74% 2-2 @ 4.67% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.81% | 0-1 @ 5.4% 1-2 @ 4.88% 0-2 @ 2.54% 1-3 @ 1.53% 2-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.19% Total : 18.01% |