Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Ayr United |
| 41.13% | 28.23% | 30.63% |
| Both teams to score 46.13% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.14% | 59.86% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.87% | 80.13% |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.39% | 28.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.59% | 64.41% |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.62% | 35.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.86% | 72.14% |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Ayr United |
| 1-0 @ 12.66% 2-1 @ 8.24% 2-0 @ 7.93% 3-1 @ 3.44% 3-0 @ 3.31% 3-2 @ 1.79% 4-1 @ 1.08% 4-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.67% Total : 41.13% | 1-1 @ 13.16% 0-0 @ 10.12% 2-2 @ 4.28% Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.23% | 0-1 @ 10.51% 1-2 @ 6.84% 0-2 @ 5.46% 1-3 @ 2.37% 0-3 @ 1.89% 2-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.08% Total : 30.63% |