Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 47.06%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 26.94% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Ayr United |
| 47.06% | 25.99% | 26.94% |
| Both teams to score 50.51% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.74% | 53.26% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.19% | 74.81% |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.38% | 22.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.76% | 56.24% |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.27% | 34.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.54% | 71.46% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Ayr United |
| 1-0 @ 11.67% 2-1 @ 9.18% 2-0 @ 8.68% 3-1 @ 4.55% 3-0 @ 4.3% 3-2 @ 2.41% 4-1 @ 1.69% 4-0 @ 1.6% Other @ 3% Total : 47.06% | 1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 7.85% 2-2 @ 4.85% Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.98% | 0-1 @ 8.31% 1-2 @ 6.53% 0-2 @ 4.39% 1-3 @ 2.3% 2-3 @ 1.71% 0-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.15% Total : 26.94% |