Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 1-0 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamilton Academical would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
| 29.72% | 26.46% | 43.82% |
| Both teams to score 50.86% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.34% | 53.65% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.85% | 75.15% |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.21% | 32.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.64% | 69.35% |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.67% | 24.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.28% | 58.72% |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
| 1-0 @ 8.9% 2-1 @ 7.01% 2-0 @ 4.96% 3-1 @ 2.61% 3-0 @ 1.84% 3-2 @ 1.84% Other @ 2.56% Total : 29.72% | 1-1 @ 12.57% 0-0 @ 7.98% 2-2 @ 4.95% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.46% | 0-1 @ 11.27% 1-2 @ 8.89% 0-2 @ 7.97% 1-3 @ 4.19% 0-3 @ 3.76% 2-3 @ 2.33% 1-4 @ 1.48% 0-4 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.6% Total : 43.81% |