Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 50.34%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 24.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Arbroath |
| 50.34% | 25.51% | 24.14% |
| Both teams to score 49.45% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.59% | 53.41% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.05% | 74.94% |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.76% | 21.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.86% | 54.14% |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.78% | 37.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26% | 74% |
| Score Analysis |
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Arbroath |
| 1-0 @ 12.24% 2-0 @ 9.49% 2-1 @ 9.38% 3-0 @ 4.9% 3-1 @ 4.84% 3-2 @ 2.39% 4-0 @ 1.9% 4-1 @ 1.88% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.4% Total : 50.34% | 1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 7.9% 2-2 @ 4.64% Other @ 0.87% Total : 25.51% | 0-1 @ 7.81% 1-2 @ 5.98% 0-2 @ 3.86% 1-3 @ 1.97% 2-3 @ 1.53% 0-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.71% Total : 24.14% |