Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-0 (10.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 33.72% | 28.03% | 38.25% |
| Both teams to score 47.53% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.5% | 58.5% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.92% | 79.08% |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.52% | 32.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31% | 69% |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.39% | 29.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.35% | 65.65% |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 1-0 @ 10.81% 2-1 @ 7.4% 2-0 @ 6.08% 3-1 @ 2.78% 3-0 @ 2.28% 3-2 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.68% Total : 33.72% | 1-1 @ 13.16% 0-0 @ 9.62% 2-2 @ 4.51% Other @ 0.75% Total : 28.03% | 0-1 @ 11.7% 1-2 @ 8.01% 0-2 @ 7.12% 1-3 @ 3.25% 0-3 @ 2.89% 2-3 @ 1.83% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.46% Total : 38.24% |