Scottish Championship | Gameweek 28

Mar 5, 2022 at 3pm UK

Rugby Park

Kilmarnock
2 - 0
Hamilton

Murray (44'), Alston (55')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mimnaugh (20'), Popescu (83'), Martin (86')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Kilmarnock and Hamilton Academical.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

Last Six:

Last Game: Raith Rovers 1-1 Kilmarnock
Friday, April 29 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Kilmarnock	35	23	66
2	Arbroath	35	23	62
3	Inverness Caledonian Thistle	35	15	56

Hamilton Academical

Last Six:

Last Game: Inverness 4-0 Hamilton
Friday, April 29 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Raith Rovers	35	0	49
6	Hamilton Academical	35	-11	42
7	Greenock Morton	35	-8	40

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 46.93%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 27.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
Kilmarnock	Draw	Hamilton Academical
46.93%	25.59%	27.49%

Both teams to score 52.15%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.68%

51.32%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.86%

73.14%

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.13%

21.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.89%

55.11%

Hamilton Academical Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.74%

33.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.13%

69.88%

Score Analysis

Kilmarnock 46.92%

Hamilton Academical 27.49%

Draw 25.59%

Kilmarnock	Draw	Hamilton Academical
1-0 @ 11.05% 2-1 @ 9.25% 2-0 @ 8.4% 3-1 @ 4.69% 3-0 @ 4.26% 3-2 @ 2.58% 4-1 @ 1.78% 4-0 @ 1.62% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.31% Total : 46.92%	1-1 @ 12.17% 0-0 @ 7.27% 2-2 @ 5.09% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.59%	0-1 @ 8.01% 1-2 @ 6.7% 0-2 @ 4.41% 1-3 @ 2.46% 2-3 @ 1.87% 0-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.43% Total : 27.49%