Scottish Championship | Gameweek 18

Feb 12, 2022 at 3pm UK

Rugby Park

Kilmarnock
2 - 1
Dunfermline

Lafferty (67', 83')
Lafferty (11'), McKenzie (71'), McGinn (78'), Tait (90+2'), MacKay (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Lawless (59')
McCann (34'), Comrie (56'), Dorrans (75'), Donaldson (90+4')
Comrie (90+3')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Kilmarnock and Dunfermline Athletic.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 60.15%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 17.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Dunfermline Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
Kilmarnock	Draw	Dunfermline Athletic
60.15%	22.56%	17.29%

Both teams to score 48.31%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.17%

49.84%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.17%

71.83%

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.83%

16.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.37%

45.63%

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.62%

42.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.24%

78.76%

Score Analysis

Kilmarnock 60.14%

Dunfermline Athletic 17.29%

Draw 22.56%

Kilmarnock	Draw	Dunfermline Athletic
1-0 @ 12.48% 2-0 @ 11.37% 2-1 @ 9.77% 3-0 @ 6.91% 3-1 @ 5.93% 4-0 @ 3.15% 4-1 @ 2.7% 3-2 @ 2.55% 4-2 @ 1.16% 5-0 @ 1.15% 5-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2% Total : 60.14%	1-1 @ 10.71% 0-0 @ 6.85% 2-2 @ 4.19% Other @ 0.8% Total : 22.56%	0-1 @ 5.88% 1-2 @ 4.6% 0-2 @ 2.53% 1-3 @ 1.32% 2-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.76% Total : 17.29%

Kilmarnock2 - 1Dunfermline

Data Analysis

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