Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 41.13% | 27.61% | 31.26% |
| Both teams to score 48.12% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.54% | 57.46% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.74% | 78.26% |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.53% | 27.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.04% | 62.96% |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.35% | 33.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.7% | 70.3% |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 11.94% 2-1 @ 8.4% 2-0 @ 7.72% 3-1 @ 3.62% 3-0 @ 3.32% 3-2 @ 1.97% 4-1 @ 1.17% 4-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.9% Total : 41.12% | 1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 9.24% 2-2 @ 4.58% Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.6% | 0-1 @ 10.06% 1-2 @ 7.08% 0-2 @ 5.48% 1-3 @ 2.57% 0-3 @ 1.99% 2-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.41% Total : 31.25% |